September 2007

IZA DP No. 3069: The Effect of Job Displacement on the Transitions to Employment and Early Retirement for Older Workers in Four European Countries

修改后的更小ion published as "Job displacement and the transitions to re-employment and early retirement for non-employed older workers" in: European Economic Review, 2010, 54 (4), 517-535

Despite the increased frequency of job loss for older workers in Europe, little is known on its effect on the work-retirement decision. Employing individual data from the European Community Household Panel for Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U.K., a multivariate competing-risks hazard model is estimated in which the effect of job displacement is identified separately for transitions into re-employment and retirement. The findings suggest that in countries with institutional provisions for older unemployed which offer a pathway to early retirement such as, Germany and Spain, older displaced workers exhibit lower re-employment and higher retirement rates compared to the non-displaced. These results are robust to dynamic selection due to unobserved heterogeneity and to the endogeneity of displacement.